Alex has had type 1 diabetes since age 1. Alarmingly, the incidence of type 1 diabetes is increasing fastest in children under 5 years of age. Why?

Our Children Are at Risk

Each year, an ever increasing number of children are diagnosed with type 1 diabetes. Among children under age 15, the risk of developing type 1 diabetes has been increasing since the 1950s around the world. The increase has been very rapid, particularly in the youngest children, under age 5 (Diamond Project Group 2006). The most recent U.S. data shows that the number of children with type 1 diabetes increased by 21% between 2001 and 2009 (Dabelea et al. 2014). This rise is dwarfed by the rise in China; traditionally a low- incidence country, the incidence of type 1 diabetes in Shanghai's children increased by 14.2% per year between 1997 and 2011 (Zhao et al. 2014).

I know what it's like to take care of a child with type 1 diabetes: it's scary. No child should have to go through the constant parade of needles, or have to deal with high and low blood sugars that might appear at any time. Meanwhile I could use a full night's sleep, without wondering if my child was going to wake up in the morning. Between 2005 and 2020, the number of European children under 5 who have type 1 diabetes is expected to double (Patterson et al. 2009).

Like type 1 diabetes in children, the incidence of type 2 diabetes in adults is also increasing rapidly (Geiss et al. 2006). Not only that, but type 2 diabetes incidence is increasing in children as well as adolescents. And, more and more children are showing signs of both type 1 and 2 diabetes (Pozzilli et al. 2007). The appearance of these diseases early in life is likely to have serious ramifications on health later in life.

And then there are the economic costs. It is estimated that type 1 diabetes costs the U.S. $14.4 billion in medical costs and lost income, each year (Tao et al. 2010). In 2002, U.S. spending on diabetes (type 1 and type 2) was estimated to be $132 billion. Rising health care expenditures are a serious problem, and a significant portion of health care spending is incurred by people with diabetes (Hogan et al. 2003).

But Why the Rising Rates?

The increasing incidence in type 2 diabetes is generally attributed to increasing weight gain, a poor diet, and lack of exercise, but is that really the whole story? There is growing scientific evidence that environmental chemicals can also contribute to the development of type 2 diabetes. Do chemicals contribute to the development of the autoimmune disease type 1 diabetes as well? This website is my attempt to examine the scientific evidence surrounding our exposure to chemicals and the development of diabetes. I focus on type 1, since my young son and I both have type 1, but also include information on type 2 and gestational diabetes as well.

It is clear that some environmental, not solely genetic, factors play a role in the development of type 1 diabetes. For instance, in sets of identical twins in which one twin has type 1 diabetes, the other twin does not necessarily develop the disease (Hyttinen et al. 2003). Also, people who move from a country where type 1 is rare to a country where it is more common have an increased incidence of the disease, implying that genetics alone does not tell the whole story (Feltbower et al. 2002). The incidence page has more information on type 1 diabetes incidence trends and patterns around the world.

Environmental Risk Factors for Type 1 Diabetes

Scientists have proposed a number of hypotheses to explain the rising rates of type 1, summarized on the why is diabetes increasing? page.

A number of environmental factors have been found to contribute to the development of type 1 diabetes-- even if they are not responsible for the increasing rates (type 1 diabetes, after all, is an ancient disease). Many of these factors are summarized in the graphic below. The research regarding these factors is summarized on individual pages throughout this website (e.g., vitamin D deficiency, a leaky gut, viruses, air pollutants, persistent organic pollutants, etc.). Clicking on the arrows on the list on the sidebar will show all the pages and subpages in these sections.

Read the full Lancet Risk factors for type 1 diabetes series: The Lancet: Risk factors for type 1 diabetes

References and More

I often post new studies in a variety of places, e.g., Twitter.


I also post new studies on a listserv. To subscribe, send an email to:diabetesandenvironment+subscribe@googlegroups.com


All of the people in the photos on this site have diabetes, or study diabetes or obesity. Some names have been changed.


This webpage relies solely on published studies in peer-reviewed scientific journals, available and categorized by topic on the References page.